When Will My iPhone 3GS Arrive? Take A Guess And You Could Win Something

Will my iPhone 3GS arrive by Friday, June 19th?  Based on UPS tracking - it’s currently in Alaska - I’m saying ‘yes’, but Apple’s initial email notification said that it would arrive by June 22nd, well behind the official launch date.  What do you think?  Take a guess to when my iPhone will arrive and I’ll send one lucky commenter a gadget of some sort (yes, you’ll have to wait to see what I send you).